Note error: At 0:54 I said “10% vaccinated by week 14” when I should have said “10% unvaccinated by week 14” (as is correctly shown in the table).
Why classifying a person as unvaccinated for the first 2 or 3 weeks after vaccination is guaranteed to result in high efficacy results for a vaccine that is just a placebo (or worse). This s a realistic simulation that reproduces the same kind of efficacy results as were claimed in the UK vaccine roll out.
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